Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000158 0.000175 0.000194 0.000215 0.000238 0.000264 0.000294
2025-05-18 0.000125 0.000149 0.000177 0.000213 0.000256 0.000307 0.000374
2025-05-25 0.000106 0.000133 0.000166 0.000211 0.000270 0.000345 0.000451
2025-06-01 0.000091 0.000120 0.000156 0.000208 0.000280 0.000377 0.000522
2025-06-08 0.000079 0.000107 0.000145 0.000201 0.000282 0.000397 0.000577
2025-06-15 0.000073 0.000102 0.000142 0.000203 0.000297 0.000436 0.000664
2025-06-22 0.000068 0.000097 0.000140 0.000208 0.000314 0.000479 0.000765
2025-06-29 0.000061 0.000090 0.000133 0.000203 0.000317 0.000501 0.000833
2025-07-06 0.000055 0.000082 0.000124 0.000194 0.000312 0.000508 0.000875
2025-07-13 0.000051 0.000079 0.000122 0.000195 0.000322 0.000542 0.000970
2025-07-20 0.000049 0.000076 0.000120 0.000198 0.000337 0.000584 0.001086
2025-07-27 0.000046 0.000073 0.000117 0.000196 0.000342 0.000612 0.001176
2025-08-03 0.000043 0.000070 0.000115 0.000198 0.000355 0.000655 0.001311
2025-08-10 0.000040 0.000066 0.000111 0.000196 0.000362 0.000690 0.001434
2025-08-17 0.000038 0.000063 0.000108 0.000195 0.000370 0.000725 0.001566
2025-08-24 0.000035 0.000060 0.000104 0.000192 0.000374 0.000755 0.001691
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000186 0.000369 0.000765 0.001770
2025-09-07 0.000031 0.000054 0.000098 0.000188 0.000383 0.000818 0.001966
2025-09-14 0.000030 0.000053 0.000098 0.000192 0.000401 0.000883 0.002205
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000051 0.000094 0.000188 0.000401 0.000905 0.002335
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000047 0.000089 0.000180 0.000391 0.000901 0.002390
2025-10-05 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000181 0.000401 0.000949 0.002609
2025-10-12 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000183 0.000417 0.001013 0.002888